唐山地區(qū)平改項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析與評(píng)價(jià)論文

摘  要
平改是我國(guó)城市化進(jìn)程快速發(fā)展的必然結(jié)果，是非常值得關(guān)注的社會(huì)問(wèn)題。近年來(lái)唐山地區(qū)城市化進(jìn)程不斷加快，其中存在日益嚴(yán)峻的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)問(wèn)題，已成為可能影響城市協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展、功能快速提升和市民生活質(zhì)量進(jìn)一步改善的突顯問(wèn)題。
本論文在對(duì)唐山地區(qū)部分平改項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行實(shí)地調(diào)研的基礎(chǔ)上，結(jié)合風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的基礎(chǔ)理論，對(duì)唐山地區(qū)平改項(xiàng)目前期階段的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行了識(shí)別，重點(diǎn)對(duì)其風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行了分析與評(píng)價(jià)，并采用故障樹的方法對(duì)唐山地區(qū)某具體平改項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的分析與評(píng)價(jià)，且給出結(jié)論。本論文還提出了完善平改工作的相關(guān)思路與建議，既可在理論上深化平改項(xiàng)目中的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)問(wèn)題，又可在實(shí)踐中為平改項(xiàng)目提供一條可行的分析路徑。

關(guān)鍵詞: 平改  風(fēng)險(xiǎn)  識(shí)別  分析與評(píng)價(jià)

   
    The Risk Analysis and eva luation on the Bungalow Transformation Project in Tangshan Regions

Abstract
The bungalow transformation project is an inevitable result of the rapid development of China's urbanization process，which is a social problem of great concerns. In recent years, Tangshan has been accelerating the urbanization process, in which there are increasingly serious risks. These risks have become outstanding problems that may affect the coordinated development and the rapidly function improvement, and hamper the life quality of the public to improve further.
According to the basic theory of risk management, this thesis identified its risks factors in the early stage, based on the practice investigation of the bungalow transformation project in Tangshan regions. Then this paper mainly analyzed and eva luated its risks, actually applied in a specific bungalow transformation project by using the Fault Tree method, and given the conclusion. The paper also proposed ideas and suggestions to improve other bungalow transformation projects, not only enriched the risk theory in the way, but also provided a feasible path for the bungalow transformation projects in practice.
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Key words: bungalow transformation; risk; identification; analysis and eva luation

目錄
1 引言 1
1.1選題的背景 2
1.2研究目的和意義 2
1.2.1研究目的 2
1.2.2研究意義 3
1.3唐山平改狀況 3
1.4研究設(shè)計(jì) 5
1.4.1研究思路 5
1.4.2研究方法 5
2 唐山地區(qū)平改項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的理論基礎(chǔ) 5
2.1風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理 5
2.2風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特點(diǎn)與分類 6
2.2.1風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特點(diǎn) 6
2.2.2風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的分類 6
2.3風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的過(guò)程 7
2.4平改前期 9
2.4.1前期策劃的過(guò)程 9
2.4.2前期策劃應(yīng)注意的問(wèn)題 11
3 唐山地區(qū)平改項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的識(shí)別 11
3.1平改風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別綜述 11
3.2整體平改風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素 12
4 唐山地區(qū)平改項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析評(píng)價(jià) 16
4.1分析評(píng)價(jià)的現(xiàn)狀 16
4.2分析評(píng)價(jià)的過(guò)程 17
4.3分析評(píng)價(jià)的方法 19
5 唐山地區(qū)平改項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的實(shí)例分析 20
5.1故障樹分析法 20
5.1.1故障樹的定性分析 22
5.1.2故障樹的定量分析 23
5.2實(shí)例分析 24
6 結(jié)束語(yǔ) 30
謝辭 32
參考文獻(xiàn) 33